Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.006642 0.007676 0.008888 0.010432 0.012372 0.014768 0.018013
2025-10-26 0.005278 0.006534 0.008162 0.010488 0.013842 0.018704 0.026711
2025-11-02 0.004439 0.005735 0.007524 0.010287 0.014678 0.021868 0.035822
2025-11-09 0.003780 0.005025 0.006819 0.009745 0.014739 0.023732 0.043762
2025-11-16 0.003322 0.004517 0.006302 0.009345 0.014868 0.025693 0.053215
2025-11-23 0.003079 0.004286 0.006154 0.009496 0.015985 0.030012 0.072036
2025-11-30 0.002819 0.003993 0.005860 0.009328 0.016429 0.033079 0.090891
2025-12-07 0.002574 0.003696 0.005518 0.009004 0.016460 0.035183 0.109500
2025-12-14 0.002397 0.003489 0.005302 0.008875 0.016878 0.038537 0.139127
2025-12-21 0.002312 0.003422 0.005317 0.009199 0.018432 0.046123 0.209213
2025-12-28 0.002257 0.003399 0.005405 0.009688 0.020566 0.057304 0.353770
2026-01-04 0.002166 0.003306 0.005351 0.009859 0.021934 0.067015 0.563636
2026-01-11 0.002031 0.003134 0.005150 0.009716 0.022524 0.074962 0.882129
2026-01-18 0.001930 0.003015 0.005040 0.009775 0.023805 0.088263 1.743699
2026-01-25 0.001815 0.002862 0.004845 0.009593 0.024263 0.098182 3.304275
2026-02-01 0.001683 0.002667 0.004545 0.009100 0.023504 0.100015 4.894285
2026-02-08 0.001575 0.002509 0.004309 0.008736 0.023101 0.104199 8.629437
2026-02-15 0.001522 0.002450 0.004270 0.008874 0.024619 0.125775 61.871189
2026-02-22 0.001448 0.002347 0.004130 0.008720 0.024966 0.139053 1691.504047
2026-03-01 0.001370 0.002229 0.003947 0.008425 0.024643 0.145910 NaN
2026-03-08 0.001311 0.002147 0.003835 0.008308 0.025050 0.162319 NaN
2026-03-15 0.001288 0.002131 0.003865 0.008603 0.027444 0.212700 NaN
2026-03-22 0.001275 0.002135 0.003941 0.009048 0.030873 0.303203 NaN